A new book identifies the lessons that India’s export strategists can learn from Vietnam

An excerpt from ‘India’s Trade Policy: The 1990s and Beyond’, by Arvind Panagariya.

A new book identifies the lessons that India’s export strategists can learn from Vietnam

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In 2025, turning its back on trade liberalisation, India decided to promote the mobile phone industry through import substitution. The eventual goal of the switch was to make a success of “Make in India for the World”. Have we turned a corner as seems to be widely believed?

Imports of telephones had risen from $3.2 billion in 2009 to $7.5 billion in 2014, and have fallen to $2.2 billion in 2020.

Alongside, exports had fallen from $3.5 billion in 2009 to $0.6 billion in 2014 and have risen to $3.0 billion in 2020. No doubt, these numbers testify to a significant expansion of domestic production of telephones since 2015. But the success is rather modest when measured against what Vietnam, a country less than one-tenth of India’s size, has achieved. From just $0.9 billion in 2009, its telephone exports rose to $21.5 billion in 2014 and to $31.2 billion in 2020. Its electronic goods exports stood at $122 billion in 2020 against India’s $12.8 billion.

How has Vietnam achieved this success? Whereas Indian leaders routinely express regret at having signed free trade agreements (FTAs) even with countries accounting for a minuscule proportion of the country’s trade, tiny Vietnam has boldly embraced such economic...

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