Nate Silver's gut says Donald Trump is winning: 'But don't trust anyone's gut'

"So OK, I'll tell you. My gut says Donald Trump. And my guess is that it is tru for many anxious Democrats," Nate wrote. "But I don’t think you should put any value whatsoever on anyone’s gut — including mine. Instead, you should resign yourself to the fact that a 50-50 forecast really does mean 50-50. And you should be open to the possibility that those forecasts are wrong, and that could be the case equally in the direction of Mr. Trump or Ms. Harris."