Global temperatures likely to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius in next five years, says United Nations

The intergovernmental organisation said there was an 86% chance that at least one of the subsequent years would set a new temperature record.

Global temperatures likely to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius in next five years, says United Nations

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There is an 80% likelihood of the annual average global temperature temporarily exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels in the next five years, the United Nations said on Wednesday.

A warming of more than 1.5 degrees Celsius can lead to severe climate change impacts and extreme weather.

Citing a report from the World Meteorological Organization released on the same day, the United Nations said that the global mean near-surface temperature between 2024 and 2028 is predicted to be between 1.1 to 1.9 degrees Celsius higher than the baseline years, which is 1850 to 1900.

The World Meteorological Organization is a specialised agency of the United Nations whose mandate covers weather, climate and water resources.

The report, titled “WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update (2024-2028)”, said there was an 86% chance that at least one of the subsequent years would set a new temperature record. Currently, 2023 is considered to be the warmest year on record, according to the global weather agency.

The agency the 80% chance of exceedance was close to zero in 2015 and had steadily risen since. “For the years between 2017 and 2021, there was a 20% chance of exceedance, and this increased to a 66% chance between 2023 and 2027.”

“We are playing Russian roulette with our planet,” said António...

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