Monsoon set to withdraw, India records surplus but erratic rainfall with regional variations
Deficits in key agricultural states such as Punjab, Bihar, Himachal Pradesh and Jammu and Kashmir could affect the production of kharif crops and apples.
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A large share of the season’s rains falling in a span of days or weeks, regions of the country that normally do not see very heavy rainfall seeing large excess, states like Bihar and Punjab seeing deficient rainfall – these are some important features of this monsoon so far.
Like last year, parts of North East India have seen deficient rainfall this year as well along with parts of Jammu and Kashmir, and Himachal Pradesh.
India’s overall rainfall stood at a 6.1% surplus this year (as of September 26) – compared to the long period average, which is average of the rainfall recorded over a long period, like 30 or 50 years. Experts believe this is a largely positive sign for the upcoming kharif yield. A good yield might, in turn, also keep food prices in check, offering some respite to consumers.
Climate change is making our monsoon more erratic, as is being witnessed year after year. As monsoon 2024 comes to an end, we found large variations in the geographical area covered as well as weekly variation in rainfall.
The plus and the minus
This year, the monsoon onset over Kerala happened two days early, that is, on May 30. It had covered the entire country by July 2 as against its normal date of July 8.
Last year, the...
