Average temperature in India will rise by 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2047 if emissions continue: Report
The western part of India will experience a significant increase in precipitation, said a new report by researchers at Azim Premji University.
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The average annual maximum temperature in India will increase by 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2047 if emissions continue at the current rate, according to a new report released on Sunday by researchers at Azim Premji University.
The report, titled Climate Change Projections for India (2021 -2040), also predicted that the western part of India will experience a significant increase in precipitation, compared to most of the eastern and northeastern parts of the country.
The authors used statistical modelling based on temperature and precipitation data from the India Meteorological Department to make visualisations and projections.
The report examined the future of climate change in India using two different scenarios: a “Middle of the Road” scenario with moderate reductions in emissions, and a “Fossil-Fuelled Development” scenario with continued high emissions and heavy reliance on fossil fuels.
Under the “Middle of the Road” scenario, the average annual maximum temperature could take ten years longer to increase, reaching the 1.5 degree point in 2057.
As per the predictions in a “Fossil-Fuelled Development” scenario, the maximum temperatures in 249 districts could increase by one degree every year. Sixteen of these districts are in the Himalayan region.
When looking at rainfall, the authors predicted western India would see 20-60% increases in precipitation, whereas the Himalayas would see substantial rainfall deficits. Droughts in...
