Why the recent state election results are not a referendum on Modi’s popularity
The BJP’s victory can be attributed to the support of the RSS while its vote share has not increased much since the Lok Sabha elections.
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The demoralising defeat of the opposition Congress-led INDIA (India National Developmental Inclusive Alliance) bloc in the recently concluded assembly elections in Maharashtra and Haryana will change the power equations at the national level.
In the aftermath of the recent verdict, the ruling Bharatiya Janata party is likely to become even more aggressive. Its overconfidence may make its handling of the Opposition more cavalier.
The composition of the Upper House, Rajya Sabha, will change due to the BJP’s big win in Maharashtra. The party’s dependence on its allies in the Upper House for passing crucial legislation will decrease as this happens.
The psychological impact of the victory on the BJP’s alliance partners in the Lower House, the Lok Sabha, will be no less consequential. The Janata Dal (United) and the Telugu Desam party are now likely to become relatively docile and more cooperative.
The repercussions of the state elections will also be felt in the INDIA bloc. The relative bargaining power of the Congress, the Nationalist Congress Party and the Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackeray) will be diminished. The discordant voices in the INDIA bloc will become louder. The first sign of it is Mamata Banerjee of the Trinamool Congress making a bid for the leadership of the alliance.
These results are also likely to be perceived as a reversal...
